An Alternative to Obamacare Repeal 💉
A new proposal
Last week, the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) released a proposal that would increase competition and choice for cheaper healthcare. This is in response to Trump’s 2017 executive order which asked the HHS to look at how to broaden the healthcare market, specifically surveying ways to change or expand short-term limited duration healthcare options.
Trump has been trying to repeal Obamacare since he came into office, with no luck. This new proposed rule is an innovative move on Trump’s part that doesn’t repeal Obamacare, but instead, strips it of its dominance in the market by providing more options and pulling in new competition.
The right believes this will be a “lifeline” to “victims” of Obamacare who have seen their healthcare rates double. The right looks at the same study from the Urban Institute but draws different conclusions from the data. The right claims that there’s evidence in the study that Trump’s proposal will ultimately reduce the number of uninsured Americans by 1.7 million. The study ‘buries’ this by presenting their data as a comparison of the number of uninsured Americans today with the number uninsured in 2019. However, they are actually comparing the uninsured today to a grouping of people in 2019 with both Short Term Limited Duration healthcare and no insurance at all, skewing the data.
The left calls the HHS’s proposed rule a “sneakier, backdoor repeal” of Obamacare that will broaden the healthcare market, but ultimately hurt low-income Americans. They reference data from a study by the Urban Institute which suggests that by 2019, the number of people without health insurance will “rise by 5 million”. Younger people are expected to flee the Obamacare markets for the new cheaper markets, causing premiums to spike for older, more expensive enrollees.
Will this proposed rule have positive or negative effects?
The fact that the left and right can draw such different conclusions shows that the data is not clear on the long-term effects of Trump’s proposed rule. Yes, the price of Obamacare may go up, but the price of alternative healthcare will go down. Obamacare is not being ‘sneakily repealed’, it’s just becoming one among many options. The rule will ultimately be positive for some and negative for others.
Trust me, I'm a doctor
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