Texas Primaries are in the Books ✅

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Can Texas be blue?

There's been a lot of talk about Texas turning blue this midterm election, with Democrats hoping to capitalize on Trump’s low approval ratings. For the first time in 25 years, Democrats fielded a candidate in every Texas congressional district.
 

The digits

So far through the primaries, the hype has not lived up to expectations. 1.54 million Republicans turned out to vote - beating their previous record of 1.48 million in 2010. Democrats got 1 million people to vote - a 40% increase over the 2014 congressional election. Ted Cruz received 1.3 million Republican votes, and his Democratic opponent, Beto O’Rourke, received 0.6 million Democratic votes. They’ll face-off for the Senate seat come November.
 



The right thinks the left’s belief that a wave of blue was going to sweep over Texas was blown way out of proportion. They point to yesterday’s primary results as confirmation that Texas is still a deep red state. Specifically, they highlight how Ted Cruz received more votes himself than the entire Democratic voting base that turned out.

 

The left spins this as a victory for Democrats. They point to the fact that Texan Democrats turned out in the highest numbers in nearly two decades - suggesting heightened Democratic enthusiasm in the state. Although they concede that Texas will likely remain a red state, they’re optimistic that the large Democratic turnout seen in Texas will manifest in other states’ primaries and during the November election.


A story we've seen before?

The optimistic headlines on the left feel eerily similar to the overconfidence left-leaning news organizations displayed in the 2016 election. We all know how that turned out...news organizations were blatantly wrong. Only time will tell, but Texas suddenly turning tons of red districts blue seems like wishful thinking. The next primary is in a couple weeks in Illinois. 

 

Waiting for the next primaries

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